US Election: What will happen if Donald Trump wins?

Sixteen years ago The Simpsons broadcast an episode called “Bart to the Future” in which Lisa becomes “the first straight woman president”

“As you know, we’ve inherited quite a budget crunch from President Trump,” she tells her staff, who inform her the country is broke due to her predecessor.

Writer Dan Greaney described it as a “warning to America”, adding: “”It just seemed like the logical last stop before hitting bottom.

“It was pitched because it was consistent with the vision of America going insane.” Today Greaney’s fears are on the verge of being realised as Donal Trump’s bid for the presidency could become a reality.

Since entering the race in June last year, he’s staked out controversial policy positions on immigration, gay rights, the economy and justice.

If elected on Tuesday, Trump has vowed to get to work from day one. Here the Mirror takes a look at what a Trump Presidency would mean.

Getty Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at the Venetian Hotel

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at the Venetian Hotel

Immigration

From “day one” of his Presidency Trump has vowed to begin working on an impenetrable physical wall on the southern border, handing the estimated $22 billion bill to Mexico.

Described by Trump as rapists, drug dealers and murderers, many of the 11 million undocumented immigrants he has vowed to deport from the States come from across the border.

Also he plans on implementing a temporary closing of the US border to all Muslims “until we can figure out what’s going on” in the wake of several ISIS attacks in America and the world.

It’s no secret that ever since Trump’s particular brand of Islamophobia has been introduced to the public, there’s been a noticeable upswing in anti-mosque attacks and anti-Islam violence in the US.

US Border Patrol/Handout United States Border Patrol agents make use of All Terrain vehicles as they patrol along the U.S. border with Mexico

United States Border Patrol agents make use of All Terrain vehicles as they patrol along the U.S. border with Mexico

It is likely it would only get worse.

He’s backed away slightly from the position recently saying it’s merely a recommendation and the ban would only apply to nations with a “proven history of terrorism” against the States or its allies.

The American Action Forum, a right-leaning policy institute based in Washington D.C., estimates that immediately and fully enforcing current immigration law, as Trump has suggested, would cost the federal government from £326billion to £490billion.

It would shrink the US labour force by 11 million, reduce the real GDP by £1.3 trillion and take 20 years to complete. Trump reckons he could do it in 18 months.

“It will harm the US economy,” said Doug Holtz-Eakin, president of the American Action Forum and chief economic policy adviser to Sen. John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign.

“Immigration is an enormous source of economic vitality.”

Abortion

Hillary Clinton prides herself on being one of the biggest supporters of abortion rights and the nation’s largest abortion provider Planned Parenthood.

Trump, on the other hand, has said he will be no friend to the industry if he wins the Oval Office.

The Republican’s position, however, has been changed more times than a baby’s nappy.

He has flip-flopped his way through the issue once declaring “there has to be some form of punishment” for those women who undergo the procedure while at another time stating he was pro-choice.

Trump actually doesn’t hate Planned Parenthood.

Getty Human foetus (Digital)

Human foetus (Digital)

He has acknowledged they do a lot of good when it comes to making sure women get screenings for breast cancer and cervical cancer.

However, he is adamant he would defund the industry giving those tax dollars to community health centres that offer comprehensive health care.

Today he rejects the “pro-choice” position on abortion and saying he is pro-life.

Fears are his policies would create a surge in backstreet abortion clinics springing up or force women to travel abroad to Latin America where standards are reported not to be as high.

Women

Only recently has Trump realised the strength of the female vote.

His campaign has been dogged by allegations of sexual impropriety while he has also spoken degradingly of the opposite sex.

As far as Trump’s presidential campaign, women’s attitudes toward the Republican candidate are mixed.

Among the general public, females overwhelmingly dislike him by more than a 2-1 margin but among his party and some independents he has support.

His views on women are at times disturbing once saying breastfeeding women were “disgusting”.

He then said of his daughter “If Ivanka weren’t my daughter, perhaps I’d be dating her” while another time declaring “ a person who is flat-chested is very hard to be a 10.”

Reuters

He has lacked a position on equal pay and paid family leave throughout the campaign while appearing through his words to condone sexism.

A Trump presidency is feared would stall, if not set back, women’s rights.

Policing and Race

While you’re hard-pressed to find a Republican who doesn’t believe in law and order, Trump has actually put his love of police into action, using them to throw out protesters of his rowdy rallies.

He also defended the beating of a Hispanic man, claiming the perpetrators were just passionate men who got carried away.

Even though Black Lives Matter has made police brutality a cornerstone of its campaign, Trump has promised to “give power back to the police” because of “rampant” crime.

His policy of handing police a controversial frisk and search policy allowing them to stop anyone is directly opposed to Hillary Clinton ’s view of moving to end racial profiling.

America’s problem with institutionalised racism would hardly be helped under his watch.

Foreign policy

Trump has labelled America’s foreign policy as “a complete and total disaster”, adding it has “no vision, no purpose, no direction and no strategy”.

While on the campaign trail he condemned the US war in Iraq, Obama administration actions to overthrown the government in Libya and what he says is a hamstrung effort to fight the so-called Islamic State in Syria and Iraq.

He’s said that there will be “no daylight” between US and Israel and has pledged to reopen the “disastrous” nuclear programme negotiations with Iran.

All this while speaking favourably about Vladimir Putin, saying the two would “get along very well” he has promised to welcome old enemies who want to become friends and criticised the idea that America should be the world’s policeman.

Getty Russian President Vladimir Putin

Russian President Vladimir Putin

He has said, above all, the US must be “unpredictable” with its foreign policy so that its adversaries will not be able to anticipate.

Trump’s foreign policy has largely been a mishmash of positions, so it was somewhat unusual that his team took an active interest in watering down the platform’s anti-Russian language.

Recent weeks has seen him take a more moderate approach to sensitive issues claiming foreign aggression is not his first instinct which may, however,

revert back once back in the White House.

Trade and economy

Throughout the campaign, Trump has gone to extreme lengths to emphasise his experience in business telling the country he will “Make America Great Again”.

Choosing not to mention his numerous failed brands such as air travel,universities, vodka and his ill-fated casinos he believes his CV puts in the best position possible to lead the US economy.

REUTERS/Carlo Allegri Supporters of U.S. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump

Supporters of U.S. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump

Despite being extremely critical about the current state of US trade he has however offered very little in the way of specific policies to fix it other than saying his “my core beliefs are I want a major tax cut.”

His default setting is to promise to create jobs in the States as he accuses the likes of China, Mexico and Japan of stealing them away from the US.

He has said past trade deals were poorly negotiated, without protections for US workers and intellectual property – and that he would rework them to put American priorities first.

He’s called the Trans-Pacific Partnership “the rape of our country” and suggested that US trading partners who are competing unfairly could face massive tariffs putting him on a collision course with the World Trade Organisation.

Trade offers the best example of the revolution Trump so desires but at a potential cost to relations with foreign nations.

Gay rights

Donald Trump has taken an accepting view on gay marriage whenever it suits.

When Sir Elton John wed David Furnish he tweeted: “If two people dig each other, they dig each other.”

Getty David Furnish and Elton John

David Furnish and Elton John

But during his campaign he has stated marriage should be between a man and a woman and states should not be forced to recognise same-sex couples.

He’s expressed opposition to the North Carolina law that required transgender individuals to use bathroom facilities corresponding to their birth gender, however.

His party is quite clear that it views “traditional” marriage between a man and a woman as “the foundation for free society”.

It condemns the Supreme Court decision legalising gay marriage and asserts that “every child deserves a married mom and dad”.

Democrats have drawn battle lines on LGBT matters an issue which Trump appears ignorant too.

If he resists change and denies gay men and women their right it is a battle the billionaire will lose if he becomes President.

For Ireland

Enda Kenny has described Trump’s views as “racist and dangerous”.

However, he has also said he would be happy to meet with potential President Trump in order to tell him why he disagrees with him.

This would make for an interesting encounter, and it looked like it was going to happen when Trump announced a visit Ireland in the summer.

However, the Taoiseach said he’d be too busy to meet Trump, opting to meet with US Vice President Joe Biden who was visiting at the same time.

Trump cancelled his visit in the end, whether it had anything to do with his fear of Enda Kenny is anyone’s guess.

Ireland is still in a very favourable position in regards to the US, as an English-speaking entry point to the EU market. Thanks to Brexit that position is stronger than ever.

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